000
FZPN03 KNHC 012114
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT AUG 01 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GUILLERMO NEAR 13.8N 140.1W 970 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 01
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT...240
NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 330 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS FROM 08N TO 22N BETWEEN 127W AND 140W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GUILLERMO NEAR 15.1N 143.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM E
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER
FORECAST WATERS FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 16.7N 146.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 390 NM NE QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 18.2N 149.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 19.7N 152.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 21.0N 155.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF LINE FROM 05N135W TO 13N113W TO 11N104W TO 03.4S93W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 04N127W TO 13N111W 11N91W TO
02S92W TO 02S89W TO 03N83W TO 00S81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 01N120W TO 05N109W TO 13N103W
TO 11N91W TO 04N93W TO 03S92W TO 03.4S89W TO 04N84W TO 02N81W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.

.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 27N E OF 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 30N E OF 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SAT AUG 01...

.HURRICANE GUILLERMO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM
S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN OUTER BANDS FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN
133W AND 137W.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE FROM 15N129W
TO 17N133W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W FROM 07N TO 16N...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM E OF WAVE AXIS FROM 08N TO 11N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF
20.5N107.5W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N83W TO 06N95W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS
FROM 06N95W TO 07N110W TO 05N125W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 133W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N OF ITCZ
BETWEEN 102W AND 112W.

.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.