000
FZPN03 KNHC 212106
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU AUG 21 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 23.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LOWELL NEAR 20.3N 122.3W 982 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 21
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 140 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
300 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 390 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E AND W...AND 420 NM S AND N QUADRANTS
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N
TO 27N BETWEEN 112W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 22.3N 124.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 360 NM NW QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 09N
BETWEEN 112W AND 130W WIND 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A
BROAD MIX OF SWELL. N OF 28N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. FROM 20N TO 28N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 24.5N 127.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 480 NM NW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N
OF 20N W OF 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD
MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL LOWELL NEAR 26.2N 130.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 28.0N
133.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 29.5N
137.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 14.7N 136.7W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
21 MOVING SSE OR 160 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 21N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.3N 135.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM
NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 20N W OF
130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.7N 133.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM
SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA FROM 09N TO 20N W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.5N 130.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 22.0N
128.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 26.0N
130.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW PRES NEAR 11N97W 1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
13N102.5W 1006 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 96W AND 105W
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 240 NM SE OF A LINE
FROM 13N96W TO 08N110W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14N106.5W 1004 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 240 NM SE QUADRANTS
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 01S W OF 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW
AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N W OF 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC THU AUG 21...

.HURRICANE LOWELL...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM S QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 180 NM AND 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150
NM S SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N97W 1007 MB...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
WITHIN 150 NM SE AND WITHIN 300 NM NW OF A LINE FROM 14N91W TO
10N100W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 06N77W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N97W TO 08N107W
TO 10N113W. NO ITCZ AXIS E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 78W AND 82W...AND FROM 04N TO 08N
BETWEEN 84W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS
BETWEEN 101W AND 110W...AND FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 124W AND
130W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.