127
AGXX40 KNHC 250853
MIMATS

Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
453 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

...GULF OF MEXICO...

High pressure will prevail over the forecast waters through Thu
night. The high will maintain moderate to fresh south to
southeast winds over the waters west of 90W. Winds will be
mainly light to gentle east of 90W.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

Fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean
will gradually increase in areal coverage through Mon. Fresh to
strong east to southeast winds will pulse over the Gulf of
Honduras at night Mon through Wed. Tropical Storm Dorian near
11.0N 51.6W 1008 mb at 5 AM EDT moving W at 11 kt. Maximum
sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Dorian will move to 11.3N
53.3W this afternoon, 11.8N 55.5W Mon morning, 12.4N 57.7W Mon
afternoon, 13.2N 59.9W Tue morning, and 14.2N 61.9W Wed morning.
Dorian will strengthen to a hurricane near 15.2N 63.9W early Thu,
then weaken to a tropical storm near 17.1N 67.6W Fri.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

A developing area of low pressure NE of Cape Canaveral Florida
near 29N79W will track NE away from the coast of Florida into the
western Atlc today and tonight. Winds converging on the east side
of this system will continue to bring scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms, some with strong gusty winds and rough
seas, over the waters west of 72W the next couple of days.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
of this system, and a tropical or subtropical depression is
likely to form within the next few days while the system moves NE
offshore of the southeastern United States. Otherwise, gentle to
moderate southeasterly winds will continue across the area.
Tropical Storm Dorian will approach the southern waters, possibly
as a hurricane, the middle of next week.

$$

.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ037...TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 55W AND
65W...
Tropical Storm Warning tonight into Mon night.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.

$$

*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

$$

.Forecaster CAM. National Hurricane Center.